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Course · Act II: Hedge the Book · Chapter 8

Inflation, TIPS and real yields

Nominal versus real yields, how TIPS protect against inflation, breakeven inflation, and why the 2022 bond crash was mostly a jump in real yields, read from real Treasury data.

Key terms

Real yield
A yield after inflation: roughly the nominal yield minus inflation. TIPS yields are real yields.
TIPS
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities: principal rises with the consumer price index; never repays less than the original.
Breakeven inflation
Nominal Treasury yield minus the TIPS yield of the same maturity: the inflation rate at which both pay the same.

“Real Yields” is part of the full course: 6 puzzles on inflation, tips and real yields. Gullwing and Osprey are fictional banks; the Treasury yields and Fed rates are real. Try this act’s free chapter, “Who Sets the Short End”, first.

Play the free chapter →See the course